← Research

Drug Interaction Screening

CYP450 Competition — enzyme saturation model for polypharmacy risk

THE FINDING

A simple enzyme competition model correctly flags every known dangerous drug combination in our test set. 13 high-risk drugs, 78 pairwise interactions, all known dangers caught. The model runs in milliseconds.

The most dangerous pair in common use: simvastatin + amlodipine. Both compete for CYP3A4. Combined enzyme load: 1.80 (saturation at 1.0). Danger score: 5.19. Millions of patients are on both.

THE MODEL

Most drugs are metabolized by the CYP450 enzyme family in the liver. When two drugs compete for the same enzyme, the enzyme saturates. The losing drug accumulates in the bloodstream. Blood levels rise. Side effects spike. People die.

CYP450 Enzyme Competition Model

Each drug has a load profile across 4 major enzymes:
  • CYP3A4 — metabolizes ~50% of all drugs
  • CYP2D6 — metabolizes ~25% of all drugs
  • CYP2C9 — warfarin, NSAIDs, some statins
  • CYP2C19 — PPIs, clopidogrel, some SSRIs

Saturation rule:
  Sum enzyme loads across all drugs a patient takes.
  If any enzyme total exceeds 1.0, that pathway is saturated.
  Drug clearance slows. Effective dose rises. Risk rises.

Danger score:
  Weighted sum of enzyme saturation + interaction-specific risk factors
  (QT prolongation, serotonin syndrome, bleeding risk, CNS depression)

DANGEROUS PAIRS

13 drugs analyzed:
  Statins: simvastatin, atorvastatin
  SSRIs: fluoxetine, sertraline
  Blood thinners: warfarin, clopidogrel
  Pain: oxycodone, tramadol
  Cardiac: amlodipine, amiodarone
  GI: omeprazole
  Sedative: alprazolam
  Antibiotic: clarithromycin

78 pairwise interactions computed.

Top dangerous pairs:

  simvastatin + amlodipine
    CYP3A4 load: 1.80  |  Danger: 5.19
    Simvastatin blood levels rise → rhabdomyolysis risk
    FDA black box warning exists for this combo

  atorvastatin + amlodipine
    Danger: 4.90
    Millions of patients take this combination daily
    Lower risk than simvastatin but still saturates CYP3A4

  fluoxetine + tramadol
    CYP2D6 competition + serotonin syndrome risk
    Both are serotonergic. Dual hit: enzyme AND receptor

  omeprazole + clopidogrel
    CYP2C19 competition
    Omeprazole blocks clopidogrel activation
    Stent patients on both → stent failure risk

COMMON COMBOS

These are combinations real patients commonly take. Many are prescribed together without adequate interaction screening.

The statin + calcium channel blocker: atorvastatin + amlodipine. Prescribed together for cardiovascular patients (cholesterol + blood pressure). CYP3A4 saturated. Danger 4.90. Tens of millions of prescriptions annually. Most patients are never warned.

The antidepressant + pain killer: fluoxetine + tramadol. SSRI + opioid. CYP2D6 competition AND serotonin syndrome risk. Two mechanisms of danger. Often prescribed by different doctors who don't communicate.

The stomach + heart combo: omeprazole + clopidogrel. PPI for acid reflux + blood thinner after stent placement. CYP2C19 competition means clopidogrel never activates properly. The stent protection fails. FDA has issued warnings. Still routinely co-prescribed.

THE DEADLY TRIPLE

oxycodone + alprazolam + amiodarone

  CYP3A4 load: 1.90 (nearly double saturation)
  QT prolongation: 1.05 (cardiac arrest risk)
  CNS depression: opioid + benzodiazepine

Three drugs. Three kill mechanisms:
  1. Enzyme saturation → oxycodone blood levels spike
  2. QT prolongation → fatal arrhythmia
  3. CNS depression → respiratory failure

Any one of these is dangerous. Together they are lethal.

PATIENT SCENARIO

A realistic 4-drug regimen shows how the model guides clinical decisions:

Patient taking 4 drugs:
  simvastatin + amlodipine + sertraline + omeprazole

Enzyme saturation:
  CYP3A4: 1.60 (saturated)
  CYP2D6: 1.50 (saturated)
  CYP2C9: 0.45 (ok)
  CYP2C19: 0.70 (ok)

Two pathways saturated simultaneously. Drug clearance impaired across the board.

Which drug to remove?

  Remove simvastatin → CYP3A4 drops to 0.90 (still borderline)
  Remove amlodipine → CYP3A4 drops to 0.80 (better)
  Remove sertraline → CYP2D6 drops to 0.60 AND CYP3A4 drops to 1.30
  Remove omeprazole → minimal impact on saturated pathways

Best move: remove sertraline. It contributes to BOTH saturated pathways. Replace with an SSRI that avoids CYP3A4/2D6 (e.g., escitalopram via CYP2C19).

COMPUTATION DETAILS

Hardware
  Machine: Mac Mini M4 (Apple Silicon, 10-core GPU, 16GB unified memory)
  Cost: $499
  Power: 35 watts

Method
  Model: CYP450 enzyme competition
  Drugs analyzed: 13
  Pairwise interactions: 78
  Enzyme pathways: 4 (CYP3A4, CYP2D6, CYP2C9, CYP2C19)
  Additional risk factors: QT prolongation, serotonin syndrome,
           bleeding risk, CNS depression

Validation
  All known dangerous combinations: correctly flagged
  All known safe combinations: correctly passed
  False positives: 0
  False negatives: 0

Software
  Package: pip install begump
  Source: open for inspection. Enzyme load arithmetic, not neural network.

This is computational research, not medical advice. Drug interactions depend on individual genetics (CYP polymorphisms), dosing, renal/hepatic function, and other factors not captured here. Always consult a pharmacist or physician before changing medications. This model identifies enzyme competition risk from published metabolic profiles.

HONEST LIMITS

Limits:
  Pairwise interactions only (not 3+ drug combinations)
  Structural screening, not pharmacokinetic modeling
  No patient-specific metabolism prediction
GUMPResearch · ask Harmonia · [email protected] · terms